I’m 9-1 so far this year, showing that I am much more credible when it comes to NFL picks. These are a little late, but the early games aren’t over yet. I assure you I wrote these yesterday, but just forgot to post them.
Detroit at Chicago
There’s not much to write about this, except to say that I am the official Chicago Bears homer of Fourth and Blog. The Bears are heavily favored at home with the Lions coming off their first win in 19 games. Matt Forte is still having trouble getting going and the receivers have yet to make a big difference in the offensive attack. The good news for the Bears is that the defense is playing great in the absence of Brian Urlacher, and Jay Cutler has proved in the last two weeks that he is the type of leader that the team has been missing for so many years. This should be an easy win for them.
Chicago Wins 31-17
Baltimore at New England
The Ravens are undefeated so far, riding the strength of their defense and the solid play of second year quarterback Joe Flacco. New England is struggling a bit, but they finally incorporated Fred Taylor into the offense last week, and they will certainly need to do that again in order to beat Baltimore. Tom Brady and Randy Moss have yet to find their rhythm, and Brady still looks tentative in the pocket. This Baltimore defense is not who you want to be going up against when you are not feeling sure about yourself. Brady will get pressured early and often. The Ravens should have a balanced offensive attack against the New England defense, which just isn’t the same with out Richard Seymour.
Ravens Win 22-17
NY Jets at New Orleans
This is the game of the week in my opinion, with the No. 1 ranked defense of the Jets going against the high powered passing game of the Saints. If there is any aspect of the Jets defense to exploit it’s the secondary. It’s not that the d-backs are bad, it’s just the the front seven is their strength and the Saints passing offense is so damn explosive. The pass rush just might be the only thing that can save the Jets. I think they’ll slow the Saints down, but still won’t be able to score enough to win.
_Saints Win 35-24 _
San Diego at Pittsburgh
Another great matchup pits the Chargers and Phillip Rivers against the defending Super Bowl Champion Steelers. Without Troy Polamalu, the Pittsburgh defense isn’t quite as stellar as it could be. LaDanian Tomlinson could be back, which is huge for the Chargers because Darren Sproles is most definitely not capable of shouldering the load of a starting running back. Phillip Rivers and Antonio Gates are playing great, but without Tomlinson, they won’t beat the Steelers. That being said, LT will certainly have some rust to knock off. Pittsburgh is a veteran team that understands how important for them to win this game. It’s going to be tight the entire way, but the Steelers will edge out San Diego.
Steelers Win 17-13
Green Bay at Minnesota
Aaron Rodgers and the Pack come to town in Brett Favre’s first game against Green Bay since leaving the team two seasons ago. Favre showed last week that he still has some heroics left in him, orchestrating a come from behind win. Both teams have excellent defenses, so I don’t think either will be a difference maker. Aaron Rodgers and Adrian Peterson are everything to their respective teams, and AP is due for a huge game. The Packers’ passing game is better than Minnesota’s, but the system of intermediate passes and screens mixed with AP is a formula that will get them the win at home.
Vikings Win 34-27